Posted April. 11, 2016 07:25,
Updated April. 11, 2016 20:16
The new ICBM engine that the North has unveiled is believed to be a larger one (KN-14, an upgrade version of KN-08) than the KN-08 mobile ICBM engine. The South Korean military judges that the blast from the engine is also more powerful than that of the long-range missile that was launched in early February.
The South Korean military judges that the North’s bid to develop a new ICBM has entered the concluding phase, and predicts the North will be able to test fire the long-range missile within one or two years. Since the North already deployed to combat mission its short- to mid-range missiles that are capable of striking the U.S. military bases in South Korea, Japan and Guam, the North is making an "all-in" bet in boosting its capacity in ICBM that can send a small nuclear warhead to the entire U.S. territories.
After Kim Jong Un ordered the North Korean military to develop additional miniaturized nuclear weapons and a carrier (missile) last month, the North has demonstrated that it possesses capacity for ICBM development by disclosing a small apparatus that is believed to be a small-sized nuclear warhead, and conducting mock test of atmospheric re-entry of a warhead, and test of a solid fuel rocket engine, before publicizing the engine test. The North has thus effectively revealed in phases the head (warhead), the body (solid fuel rocket engine for stage 2 and stage 3 rockets), and the tail (engine for stage 1 rocket).
The North’s project completion to expand the Dongchang-ri launch site last year is also seen as a strong sign suggesting Pyongyang’s development of a new type ICBM model. The North disclosed a miniature mockup of the missile with "Unha 9" marked on it, after firing the "Unha 3 rocket" in 2012. It is expected that the new ICBM will use the liquid fuel rocket engine that has been unveiled this time for the stage 1 rocket, and the solid fuel rocket that was disclosed on March 24 as the stage 2 and 3 rockets.
“As North Korea has almost completed miniaturizing of nuclear weapons through four nuclear tests, it apparently thinks that if it loads a small-size nuclear warhead on its new ICBM and deploy it to combat mission, the U.S. will have no choice but to accept the North as a nuclear power," a South Korean military source said.